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Crown Green Handicap

Mike Nelson

Top 10%
Team: Manor RoadDivision: League 1Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

1106

Current Handicap

4
Honours
Season:

36

Matches Played

24

Wins

12

Losses

67%

Win Rate

8.9

Avg Win Margin

6.6

Avg Loss Margin

15-7

Home Record

9-5

Away Record

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Hot Streak 1511/15

Season Highlights

2017

90% Season

92%

10-Game Streak

11 in a row

Handicap Trend

All Time · 36 matches

+4 Rising
15 Jul12 Aug2 Jun7 Jul27 Apr21 May29 Jun17 Aug-11357
Started0
Lowest0
Current4
Win Percentage(40%)
67%
score+0.33→contribution+0.13
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
8.9
score+0.15→contribution+0.04
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
6.6
score+0.24→contribution+0.04
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
55%
score+0.10→contribution+0.01
Opponent Strength(10%)
977
score+0.31→contribution+0.03
Weighted Score+0.247
Sample Size Confidence
85%(36/39 matches)
Rating1124 → shrunk 1106
Handicap
4

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 500). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 39, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

24W12L36 matches·66.7% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Manor Road2016–2018League 136241266.7%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/17/2018Ian PiercyA18-21LOSS-3LeagueLeague 1
8/13/2018Ian MuskettH18-21LOSS-3LeagueLeague 1
8/3/2018Tony ThelwellA21-18WIN+3LeagueLeague 1
7/6/2018Glynis LomaxH17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 1
7/2/2018Dave TinkerA12-21LOSS-9LeagueLeague 1
6/29/2018Craig SavilleH21-19WIN+2LeagueLeague 1
6/11/2018Brian LawrenceH13-21LOSS-8LeagueLeague 1
6/8/2018Graham CairnsA21-18WIN+3LeagueLeague 1
6/4/2018#a John CosgroveA10-21LOSS-11LeagueLeague 1
6/1/2018Ian GallagherH21-7WIN+14LeagueLeague 1
5/21/2018Neil SherbrookeA11-21LOSS-10LeagueLeague 1
5/18/2018John DevlinH20-21LOSS-1LeagueLeague 1
5/11/2018Jack WilsonA21-10WIN+11LeagueLeague 1
5/4/2018Mark MylesH21-12WIN+9LeagueLeague 1
4/30/2018Paul BranscombeA21-9WIN+12LeagueLeague 1
4/27/2018# Tony MccolganH21-8WIN+13LeagueLeague 1
8/18/2017b Samantha StanleyH17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 1
8/14/2017Darren HankinH21-8WIN+13LeagueLeague 1
8/11/2017Brian LeonardA21-13WIN+8LeagueLeague 1
7/17/2017Ian MoxhamH21-18WIN+3LeagueLeague 1
7/7/2017Ian MuskettA21-15WIN+6LeagueLeague 1
6/30/2017Andrew HalseyH21-18WIN+3LeagueLeague 1
6/12/2017b Ian GallagherA21-9WIN+12LeagueLeague 1
6/9/2017b Joseph NugentH21-7WIN+14LeagueLeague 1
6/2/2017Nigel SmithH21-10WIN+11LeagueLeague 1
5/19/2017Steve DawsonH21-9WIN+12LeagueLeague 1
4/28/2017Graham WhalleyH21-4WIN+17LeagueLeague 1
4/24/2017Phil LeeH21-14WIN+7LeagueLeague 1
8/19/2016Ian MoxhamA7-21LOSS-14LeagueLeague 1
8/12/2016Ian JohnsonH16-21LOSS-5LeagueLeague 1
8/8/2016Tom SteadA21-13WIN+8LeagueLeague 1
8/5/2016John HarrisonH21-16WIN+5LeagueLeague 1
8/1/2016Thomas RaybouldH21-7WIN+14LeagueLeague 1
7/29/2016Steve RowlandA21-14WIN+7LeagueLeague 1
7/15/2016# Eddie LeathamH21-14WIN+7LeagueLeague 1
7/8/2016Neil SleemanH14-21LOSS-7LeagueLeague 1
Cec Hannay Rose Bowl1 games · 1W
20171 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundTony LeeLever Club21-9WINLOST
Cartwright Cup1 games · 1W
20151 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Semi Final RoundDerek WadeBromborough Pool21-6WINWON
Frank Hurst Trophy1 games · 0W
20161 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundDavid CrawfordOxton Cons B15-21LOSSLOST

Current Streak

2losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

11

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

2

Career worst losing streak

Last 520% win rate
LLWLL
Last 1040% win rate↓ declining
LLWLLWLWLW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Ian Muskett11250%8/13/2018
Ian Moxham11250%7/17/2017
Ian Piercy0110%8/17/2018
Tony Thelwell101100%8/3/2018
Glynis Lomax0110%7/6/2018
Dave Tinker0110%7/2/2018
Craig Saville101100%6/29/2018
Brian Lawrence0110%6/11/2018
Graham Cairns101100%6/8/2018
#a John Cosgrove0110%6/4/2018
Biggest Win
Graham Whalley (+17)4/28/2017
Heaviest Defeat
Ian Moxham (-14)8/19/2016
Best Season
201792% · 12 matches
Worst Season
201850% · 16 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
83% → 50%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
96927 known · 9 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
8-467% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
11-473% win rate
League 166.7%
24W·12L·36 played

Debut

Jul 8, 2016

Latest

Aug 17, 2018

Seasons Active

3 (2.1 yr span)

Matches / Season

12.0 (36 total)

Seasons

201620172018